The pledges that countries are making to battle climate change would still allow the world to heat up by more than 6 degrees Fahrenheit, a new analysis shows, a level that scientists say is likely to produce catastrophes ranging from food shortages to widespread extinctions of plant and animal life. Yet, in the world of global climate politics, that counts as progress.

The new figures will be released Monday in New York as a week of events related to climate change comes to an end. The highlight was an urgent moral appeal at the United Nations on Friday from Pope Francis, urging countries to reach “fundamental and effective agreements” when they meet in Paris in December to try to strike a new global climate deal.

For much of this year, countries have been issuing pledges about how much emissions they are willing to cut in coming decades. With a plan announced by Brazil on Sunday, every major country except for India has now made a commitment to take to the Paris conference.

That would be the biggest reduction in the history of global climate politics, and a sign that 20 years of disappointing negotiations may be giving way to an era when countries start to move the needle on the projected global temperature.

Yet the analysis also shows that the nations are still a far way from meeting their own shared target, set in 2010, of limiting global warming to about 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. That level of warming, while potentially producing dire effects on agriculture, sea level and the natural world, might at least be tolerable, some experts believe.

Making any serious pledge has been a political challenge in many countries, including the United States, where President Obama has encountered vociferous opposition in Congress. Governments are unlikely to want to reopen those fights in the remaining two months before the Paris talks. Thus, many analysts expect that any final deal struck in Paris will probably not be enough to forestall dangerous levels of global warming.

“Everyone is now convinced there will be agreement in Paris,” President François Hollande of France said Sunday afternoon at the United Nations. “But the question is, what kind of agreement?”

Despite the uncertainty, optimism is growing among some diplomats and scientists that progress has become possible. Intensive engagement between China and the United States over the past two years helped break the logjam in global climate politics, and for the first time, virtually every country is now offering to pitch in to help limit emissions growth.

Janos Pasztor, United Nations assistant secretary general for climate change, said the task in Paris would be to put mechanisms into the deal to encourage countries to ramp up their ambitions over time. Requirements for periodic reviews and fresh pledges are under discussion as a potential part of the agreement.

At a luncheon that the United Nations secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, hosted for dozens of world leaders on Sunday, the heads of state and government “agreed that Paris must be the floor, not the ceiling, for collective ambition,” Mr. Ban said afterward.

Gavin A. Schmidt, head of the NASA unit in Manhattan that studies climate change, said that the history of environmental cleanup suggested that once countries got started on the problem, they would discover that solving it was cheaper and easier than expected.

“By the time people get 10, 15 years of actually trying to do something, that’s going to lead to greater expertise, better technology, more experience,” Dr. Schmidt said. “People will then say, ‘Oh, you know what? We can commit to do more.’ ”
Continue reading the main story. The planet has already warmed by about 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit above the temperature that prevailed before the Industrial Revolution, representing an enormous addition of heat. Virtually every piece of land ice on Earth is melting, the sea ice in the Arctic is collapsing, droughts and other weather extremes are intensifying, and the global food system has shown signs of instability.

At a meeting in Cancun, Mexico, in 2010, climate negotiators from nearly 200 countries agreed that they would try to limit the warming to 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, or 2 degrees Celsius, above the preindustrial temperature, a level that would require that emissions from fossil fuels largely cease within a few decades. Subsequently, recognizing that many governments were reluctant to agree to binding limits, the diplomats essentially asked each country to volunteer its best efforts. That decision, controversial at the time, has unlocked a willingness by many nations to participate, including countries like China that had long resisted climate deals.

India is the biggest holdout so far, but that nation’s environment minister, Prakash Javadekar, said in an interview in New York on Sunday that a plan would be submitted to the United Nations on Oct. 1, the eve of the national celebration of Mahatma Gandhi’s birthday — apparently an effort to limit domestic criticism that India is bowing to Western pressure. The plan is not expected to include a target year for India’s emissions to peak, but will be “anchored” by a major commitment to renewable energy, Mr. Javadekar said.

Bruising fights are still expected at the Paris conference, especially over money. Poor countries that have had little to do with causing global warming, but are likely to suffer the worst effects, are demanding billions from rich countries to help them manage.

Moreover, protests are expected from advocacy groups, island countries threatened with inundation, and many others over the perceived inadequacy of the deal. At a minimum, these groups are likely to demand strong procedures for ratcheting up national commitments over time.

“No one doubts that coming out of Paris, there’s going to be an ambition gap on the table,” said Alden Meyer, who follows climate negotiations for the Union of Concerned Scientists, in Washington. “The question is going to be, what prospect do we have to shrink it, and how quickly?”

काठमाडौं, ११ असोज –  नेपाल-चीन सीमा नाका रसुवागढीबाट यसैहप्तादेखि राजधानी काठमाडौंमा चिनियाँ सामाग्री पठाउने घोषणासँगै भारतलाई ठूलो झट्का लागेको हो । यसले भारतको व्यापारमा समेत घाटा हुने देखिएको छ । रसुवागढी नाकाबाट यसै हप्तादेखि चिनियाँ सामान काठमाडौं आउने नाकाबन्दी गरेर नेपालको आन्तरिक मामिलामा हस्तक्षेप गरिरहेको भारतलाई छिमेकी देश चीनले ठूलो झट्का दिएको छ ।
त्यसका लागि रसुवागढी नाका खोल्न नेपाल र चीनबीच सहमति भइसकेको छ । भने, नेपालतर्फ सम्पूर्ण तयारी पूरा भएको छ । अब चीनले आफ्नो भूभागमा पर्ने बाटोमा रहेको पहिरो तीन दिनमा हटाउने जनाइसकेको छ । यता रसुवागढी भन्सार कार्यालय पनि चीनबाट सामान आए जाँच पास गर्न तयारी अवस्थामा छ । भन्सार प्रमुख केदार पनेरुले चीनले जति सामान पठाए पनि जाँचपास गर्न सक्ने अवस्थामा आफूहरु रहेको बताए । ‘नेपालतर्फ अब कुनै समस्या छैन, बाटोमा भएका समस्या पनि समाधान गरेका छौं । चीनले जति गाडी पठाए पनि काम गर्न सक्ने अवस्थामा अब भन्सार कार्यालय छ । सामान आए काठमाडौं पठाउन सक्छौं.

काठमाडौं – पर्यटनको प्रबद्र्धन गर्ने उदेश्यले ३६ औँ विश्व पर्यटन दिवसको अवसरमा सोसाइटी अफ् टुर एन्ड ट्राभल अपरेटर्स (सोट्टो–नेपाल)ले हाइकिङ् कार्यक्रमको आयोजना गर्‍यो ।   उपत्यकाभित्रको प्रसिद्ध धार्मिक पर्यटकीय स्थल बुढानीलकण्ठको सिमानामा पर्ने शिवपूरी राष्ट्रिय निकुञ्ज हाइकिङको लागि अतिनै उपयुक्त क्षेत्र हो । चिसो हावा, सुन्दर तथा हरियाली जंगल र स्वच्छ वातावरण यस क्षेत्रका विशेषता हुन् । हाइकिङकै शीलशीलामा सोट्टो नेपालका  ‘शिवपूरी डाँडा काठमाडौं उपत्यकाको मुख्य जलाधार हुन् ।  काठमाडौमा बग्ने बाग्मती, बिष्णुमती लगाएत प्रसस्त नदीहरूको श्रोत शिवपूरी डाँडा नै हो । उपत्यकाबाट नजिकै रहेको यो स्थान अझै व्यवस्थित गर्नसके आन्तरिक तथा बाह्य पर्यटकहरुका लागि एक आकर्षक हाइकिङ गन्तव्य बन्न सक्छ ।’
हाइकीङ कार्यक्रमको अन्त्यमा सोट्टो नेपालका महासचिव मधुसुदन उपाध्यायले यस रुट अझै व्यवस्थित बन्न नसक्दा पर्यटकहरु जंगलमा अलमल पर्नसक्ने बताए । उनले यसका लागि आगामी दिनमा यस क्षेत्रको प्रबद्र्धन गर्न सरकारसँग माग गर्ने पनि बताए ।सोट्टो–नेपालले भूकम्प पछि नेपालको पर्यटन प्रबद्र्धनका क्षेत्रमा देश विदेशमा विभिन्न कायक्रमहरु गर्दै आएको छ ।

 Sanjok Acharya,New York  – Every human being in this world has a dream and goal that they want to achieve. Some people are able to fulfill their dreams while some are not. From Whole over the world. there are many victims, We can give example like syrian people who are homeless now . They loss their families and everything. From the fear of to be killing. they Travel to another countries to be safe. Many more peoples dreams did not get success because they drowned in the Sea or in the Ocean and many more were stopped by border security forces in the borders. Same like that one of the painful incident happened in turkey beach . The three year syrian baby was drowned at a turkish beach. When everybody  saw that drowned baby’s picture the world became very much sad. Seeing that news about syrian baby i became very much sad and i remember one painful incident of one journalist whose all dreams and goals have been shattered.  I am going to write about a journalist  from Nepal.  He is a journalist from Nepalgunj, Nepal named Saurab Giri, who has been in journalism for a long time, but his life is passing through a very difficult  stage. When he moved to Nepalgunj city  from the Dang district where he was born , his life came under a dark shadow from 2011.
A criminal underground outfit Terai janatantrik party Madhes  targeted journalist Giri alleging him of working against their interests.

They also threatened to take physical action against him. That underground criminal group threatened to kill on 8th March, 2011.They later attacked him twice on 29th April, 2011 and again on 17th July, 2012. Journalist Giri knocked the doors of local administration, but failed to get justice.

He was, thus, forced to leave the country fearing for his life. The Federation of Nepalese Journalists as well as Nepalese and international human rights groups have issued statements calling for safety and security of Mr Giri.

Even after journalist Giri was displace, on 9th November 2013, the same underground group demand Huge amount of money  from Giri
and threatened that they will kill him if the money was not handed over to them. After a couple of months, on 4th January 2014, that group issued threats to his family  to give  the money within two months or face consequences.

The same group  also attacked father of Mr Giri.The criminal outfit, Terai janatantrik party madhesh is still said to be looking for Mr Giri. It has already decided to take physical action against him. The person who was also involved in the first attack on Giri , is still threatening his family.

Journalist Saurab Giri is leading his displaced life currently living in The Netherlands. He is the most suffering journalist among other Nepalese journalists who have been seeking the refugee status. The concerned authorities need to know that if any journalists becomes victim in Nepal either Federation of Nepali Journalists ,  Freedom forum Nepal , Nepal press freedom ,  Insec ( Informal sector service)  raise their voice and also publish the news on their online portals.
Besides, international networks like www.ifex.org or  www.ifj.org also publish such news.
Journalist Giri’s  news was also published by ifex . This shows that the case of said journalist is genuine. To give justice to people who have never suffered but to deny justice to a genuine journalist like Mr Giri may be tantamount to the mockery of human rights.

Police arrested two members of the said criminal group but they were released on bail later. This is but true that the criminal outfit will not spare Giri whenever it gets an opportunity. Nobody else but Giri knows the real situation he is passing through. Giri, who fled from his country after becoming victim, is now being victimised in his country of asylum. It’s yet to be seen if he gets justice. I am sure that when that underground group’s any members find journalist Giri then they will not worship him, they will harm him.

I met journalist Giri in The Netherlands and listened to his story. A news was also published in the Nepali edition of the Gorkhapatra daily. National and local news agencies of Nepal  have published the news about ‘Giri’s security and justice.

At this current situation journalist Giri is passing his life through very difficult stage being illegal. He goes in depression  without getting any justice and being sick from the lung disease regular two times .He took the   medicine of lung for almost twenty months. At this time he is using the high doze depression  medicine. Journalist Giri ,who  was seeking for beautiful and safe life was admitted in Hospital, Three times in Netherlands for more then one year. He is victim journalist, but he did not get justice. He only knows the pain of his victim life, staying illegal in abroad.

(Mr. Acharya is a travel writer of The New York city post)